Blackjack dealer bust strategy
Dealer busts 28% of time. Or approx. 1 of 4 hands. Is it possible to use that statistic to shift the odds in your favor? For example, increase bet if dealer hasn't busted 3 hands in a row. Or maybe less risk exposure, place side bet in Buster Blackjack if the dealer hasn't busted 3 hands in a row. Oct 27, · Many blackjack players have learned a strategy called “no-bust.” The idea is if a player has a busting hand, 12 through 16, they should always stay and hope the dealer will bust. The player will win the hand if the dealer hits and busts, mainly because the player is still in the game. Sep 18, · The object of blackjack is to beat the dealer. To beat the dealer the player must first not bust (go over 21) and second either outscore the dealer or have the dealer bust. Here are the full rules of the game. Blackjack may be played with one to eight decks of card decks.
Blackjack Probability Odds
It is easier to keep track of the odds when playing with a single blackjack deck. Notice that the player advantage goes negative when the 10 cards and ace start showing up. However, if you use basic strategy when you play, you can make an accurate decision based on just the information that you do know. Usually in blackjack, the dealer must hit on 16 and stand on We decided to make a few tables and charts of the most common blackjack probability odds for various scenarios and situations found while playing blackjack. The cards where the dealer is least likely to bust are the Ace, 10, and 9.
Blackjack Dealer Bust Percentages
Blackjack odds are percentage figures which represent your probability of losing or winning a hand. They can also represent the house edge or their profit margins as well. Usually probability odds don't mean much on the short term, but they clearly average out in the long term and this is why the casinos always win over the long term.
We decided to make a few tables and charts of the most common blackjack probability odds for various scenarios and situations found while playing blackjack. The most important odds percentage represents the dealer's edge in the game.
This is the long term advantage that they have which will eventually take your money away. Blackjack is actually one of the most popular games in the casino and also has some of the lowest odds of all the casino games, except casino craps of course. There is one feature that makes blackjack more desirable than any other casino game.
There is actually a way to beat the house edge by increasing your odds. In fact, your probability odds in blackjack can be increase to the point where you would actually be making the profit in the long term, essentially turning the casino into a personal ATM. This practice is known as card counting and casinos don't like this because they know they will be losing money. Before you start card counting, you should learn "blackjack basic strategy", which is the mathematically correct way to play every move in blackjack to get the best odds.
When you play blackjack , you have some incomplete information to base your playing decisions on. However, if you use basic strategy when you play, you can make an accurate decision based on just the information that you do know. Basic blackjack strategy is based on the mathematics of the game. It has been tested and refined through computer simulations. When it is followed correctly, it reduces the house edge to the minimum, which is usually about one-half of a percent.
When you use basic strategy , you make your decision to hit, stand, or double down based on your two cards and the dealer's up card. Many players wonder what percentage of time will the dealer bust based on their up card.
The dealer will bust more often with certain up cards than with others. Take a look at the chart below. You will see that the worst cards for the dealer are the 5 and 6, followed closely by the 4. When the dealer is showing a 5 or a 6, they have a 42 percent chance of busting and a 40 percent chance when they have a 4 showing.
This is why you double down more often when the dealer is showing a 4, 5, or 6. The cards where the dealer is least likely to bust are the Ace, 10, and 9. When the dealer has one of these cards showing, they also have another advantage since the player has to act first.
If the player busts, he loses the hand even if the dealer also busts, so the percentage of times the house will win is greater than just the bust percentage shown in the chart. You will make more money when the dealer is showing a card that will allow you to double down, however, you must follow the rules of basic strategy. Many novice players will double down with a hand of 7 or 8 against a dealer showing an up card of 5 or 6. If you are unsure of the correct plays, you should memorize the basic strategy chart or bring one to the table with you.
John Ferguson born , known by his pen name , Stanford Wong , is a gambling author best known for his book Professional Blackjack , first published in Wong's computer program "Blackjack Analyzer", initially created for personal use, was one of the first pieces of commercially available blackjack odds analyzing software.
Wong has appeared on TV multiple times as a blackjack tournament contestant or as a gambling expert. He owns a publishing house, Pi Yee Press , which has published books by other gambling authors including King Yao. Wong began playing blackjack in  while teaching finance courses at San Francisco State University and getting his Ph.
D in Finance from Stanford University in California. The term "wong" v. He has reviewed or acted as a consultant for blackjack writers and researchers, including Don Schlesinger and Ian Andersen. Wong is known to have been the principal operator of a team of advantage players that targeted casino tournaments including Blackjack , Craps and Video Poker in and around Las Vegas.
At the beginning of the team's operation Wong was the primary financier providing the travelling expenses and buy in stakes for the other players. Wong is a member of the Blackjack Hall of Fame. In , Wong began publishing monthly newsletters on the subject of blackjack. As of , Wong's newsletter is published via Wong's official website. The journal contains information about rules and conditions of blackjack games in casinos in the United States and some other countries.
Stanford Wong's BJ21 has been online since It contains a free area and a restricted, subscribers-only area, called Green Chip. The record holder for most Post of the Month awards won is the blackjack expert known as MathProf , with a total of 16 wins. Wong wrote Wong on Dice which purports to show how the game of casino craps can be beaten through controlled dice throwing. Many blackjack experts are skeptical of Wong's craps claims, and this is a hotly disputed issue—unlike card counting in blackjack, which can be mathematically proven.