Dodging online gambling prohibition
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The expected return or expected gain on a financial investment is the expected value of its return of the profit on the investment. It is a measure of the center of the distribution of the random variable that is the return. The expected rate of return is the expected return per currency unit e. It is computed as the expected return divided by the amount invested. The required rate of return is what an investor would require to be compensated for the risk borne by holding the asset; "expected return" is often used in this sense, as opposed to the more formal, mathematical, sense above.
Although the above represents what one expects the return to be, it only refers to the long-term average. In the short term, any of the various scenarios could occur. In gambling and probability theory , there is usually a discrete set of possible outcomes. In this case, expected return is a measure of the relative balance of win or loss weighted by their chances of occurring. When we calculate the expected return of an investment it allows us to compare it with other opportunities.
For each investment, if it is not successful the investor will lose his entire initial investment. These calculations show that in our scenario the third investment is expected to be the most profitable of the three. The second one even has a negative ROR. The formula of expected value is very straightforward, but its value depends on the inputs.
The more alternative outcome scenarios that could occur, the more terms are in the equation. As Ilmanen stated,. When investors make judgments on the various returns on investments, they should guard against being blinded by past performance and must ensure that they take all or most of the following considerations into account". In economics and finance , it is more likely that the set of possible outcomes is continuous any numerical value between 0 and infinity.
In this case, simplifying assumptions are made about the continuous distribution of possible outcomes. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. This article needs additional citations for verification. Please help improve this article by adding citations to reliable sources. Unsourced material may be challenged and removed. Financial risk and financial risk management. Concentration risk Consumer credit risk Credit derivative Securitization. Commodity risk e. Refinancing risk. Operational risk management Legal risk Political risk Reputational risk Valuation risk.